When Less Is More: Domain-Aware Dual-Branch Recurrent Networks for Limit Order Book Mid-Price Prediction

Sergei Solovev

2026-03-26 · Preprint, Figshare · DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.31859557

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Abstract

Dual-branch BiGRU-CNN for high-frequency LOB mid-price prediction. Weighted Pearson rho_w = 0.266, outperforming LightGBM on 58.3% of sequences. Documents feature sufficiency and the negative ensemble effect on HF data (Wunder Fund RNN challenge).

Keywords: limit order book; high-frequency finance; recurrent neural networks; mid-price prediction; weighted Pearson; Wunder Fund challenge